The Liberal government appears statistically tied with the Conservative party, while more Canadians continue to consider the Green party.
According to a newly released Abacus Data Poll, the Liberals appear to have somewhat stabilized their party support, with 33 percent of likely voters saying they would vote Liberal in the election, in comparison the Conservatives received 32 percent. The Liberals gained two points, while the Conservatives dropped two from their high of 34 percent.
The NDP once again dropped, this time down to 16 percent, while the Greens surged three points to 12 percent.
Interestingly, 44 percent of Canadians are now open to voting Green virtually tied with the NDP’s 45, while the May is actually ahead of Singh for preferred Prime Minister, taking 19 percent in comparison to Singh’s 12.
Both Candidates remained behind Trudeau at 33 percent, and Scheer at 30.
While the data provided some breathing room for the Trudeau government, it also put forward two very worrying pieces of data.
First, 45% of the voters continue to remain worried about the direction of the country, and second, a massive increase in support for Elizabeth May.
With the Trudeau brand remaining tarnished as a result of multiple scandals, it seems the individual to really receive the eye of disenchanted voters have been Elizabeth May’s Green Party rather than Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives according to David Coletto a founding partner of Abacus Data:
The damage of the SNC-Lavalin controversy to the Liberals persists but the Conservatives nor the NDP have not been able to take advantage of this opportunity. Instead, many more Canadians are now giving the Greens a look as Ms. May’s popularity grows. Given that one in five Canadians would now prefer her as Prime Minister is clear evidence of how fast things can change in this environment.
For now, with all four major parties being considered by roughly 40-44% of the electorate one thing is clear, this race won’t be decided anytime soon, and with enough luck, any one of these four candidates could wind up being Prime Minister.
The poll surveyed 1,500 Canadians aged 18 and over from May 27 to 30, 2018.
The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.6 percent, 19 times out of 20.