Reviewing Day 9 of the FIFA World Cup

Costa Rica were eliminated, as this World Cup continues to set a record for penalties, own goals, and early eliminations.

Probability of qualifying and winning the group, by area, going into the last matchday for Groups D & E. By Lukas Faust.
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Part of our 2018 FIFA World Cup Hub

The second round of the group stage continued, with 3 games from Groups C and D.

A mixed result for Argentina fans. They are in a much better position to advance than if Iceland had won, but now must win against an unusually organized Nigerian team. Iceland has gone back to favourites to bottom the group.

Group D updated probability of progressing:

  • CRO – Q
  • ARG (1 pts, -3, 1 goal) – Δ 54.8%
  • NGA (3 pts, 0, 2 goals) – Δ 32.9%
  • ISL (1 pts, -2, 1 goal) – ∇ 12.3%

Brazil will almost certainly qualify, with Switzerland and Serbia battling for the other spot. Switzerland is overwhelmingly the more likely side to qualify.

Group E updated probability of progressing:

  • BRA (4 pts, +2, 3 goals) – ~ 99.9%
  • SUI (4 pts, +1, 3 goals) – Δ 79.1%
  • SRB (3 pts, 0, 2 goals) – Δ 20.9%


Brazil took more than 90 minutes to finally get the goals they needed, but were dominant throughout the entire game. Gabriel Jesus had a goal disallowed for offside in the 25h minute, in a game full of close calls for Costa Rica. Neymar was awarded a penalty in the 72nd minute, but VAR revealed that it was a dive. From his face, you would have thought he was falling into the depths of hell. Neymar’s goal in the 90+7th minute is the latest ever World Cup goal in regulation time.

Philippe Countinho, Neymar, and Johnny Acosta were carded, but none of them will be suspended.

  • BRA 1-0 CRC (90’+1 Coutinho)
  • BRA 2-0 CRC (90’+7 Neymar)


Nigeria recorded a much needed win against Iceland, all but crushing Icelandic hopes. A draw against Argentina would almost certainly see them through. Nigeria finally found their tempo in the 2nd half, and looked better than Argentina did yesterday.

Brian Idowu was carded but will not be suspended.

  • NGA 1-0 ISL (49′ Musa)
  • NGA 2-0 ISL (75′ Musa)
  • NGA 2-0 ISL (80′ Sigurdsson missed penalty)


Switzerland have positioned themselves well to progress to the knock-out stages, coming back from 1-0 down at half time. Both goal-scorers were of Albanian descent and celebrated with a politically charged gesture. Several of the key Swiss players are of Albanian descent. Star striker Xherdan Shaqiri wears a Kosovo flag on one of this boots, and celebrated his goal by taking off his shirt, which brings an automatic yellow card. It is definitely the stupidest way to yellow card, ahead of time-wasting and badgering the referee, as it serves no actual purpose for his team.

Personally, it will be nice to see Shaqiri pick up a card in the next match against Costa Rica, which would see him suspended for the Round of 16 if Switzerland advance. He was known among Bayern fans (including myself) as having a “meathead” personality on social media, as if to compensate for his less than average height.

Albania and Serbia have a troubled history, which should have stayed off the pitch, especially in light of Albania not being involved in the game and the Swiss coach being a Serbian national.

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, Luka Milivojevic, Nemanja Matic, Aleksandar Mitrovic, and Xherdan Shaqiri were carded, but none of them will be suspended.

  • SRB 1-0 SUI (5′ Mitrovic)
  • SRB 1-1 SUI (52′ Xhaka)
  • SRB 1-2 SUI (90′ Shaqiri)


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Mika Ryu

Law student at Western University, and UofT graduate in economics and linguistics. Remember that your version of the world is always too simple.

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